It’s something of a regular occurrence, the proclamation that consoles are going away.
Here’s Peter Vesterbacka of Rovio, makers of Angry Birds:
… as mobile gaming (including games on tablet devices like the iPad) continues to grow, console games are “dying”. Vesterbacka scoffed at the traditional model where companies charge $40 to $50 for a game that’s difficult to upgrade.
(From Venturebeat.)
Certainly, we are at an uncertain time – the current console generation has a longer lifetime than previous consoles, and Sony and Microsoft are releasing incremental upgrades with the Move and Kinect. All of the buzz concentrates on mobile and social games, yet a handful of big-budget titles in the Red Dead Redemption and Modern Warfare 2-class continue to generate huge sales. But the old threat to consoles (PCs and Macs) hasn’t disappeared either.
Will consoles go away? Only when some other device that people already have (computers, cell phones, tablets, built-in TV functionality, set top boxes) easily provides a living room experience on the big TV with good controllers. Nothing is quite there yet, but could it happen?