Behold the cover of the latest issue of Wired:
Behold the article “How the Tablet Will Change the World“.
Compare to another Wired prediction, from 1997. The browser is dead and will be replaced by “push” technology:
This is not to say that the iPad will fail.
But if history has taught us anything, it’s this: If something is on the cover of Wired, it’s future is in serious jeopardy. Iridium. The Long Boom. Sega.
Perhaps this is what Wired is: Current trends, extrapolated to the max, made into the strongest possible predictions about the future.
Is Will Wright dead? I suppose Braid was not well received by most reviewers but the game at least sold quite a bit, I think.
Caleb,
Of course this Wired front page test is not 100% accurate, but it has been remarkably prescient so far.
I’m not convinced your sample is statistically significant. :-)